UFC 107 Analysis and Prediction For the BJ Penn Versus Diego Sanchez Fight

Without a doubt, BJ «The Prodigy» Penn is the better 155 pound on the planet. There isn't one in the division that will touch him. Most 155 pound fighters can't even touch him BUT Diego «Nightmare» Sanchez is not a 155 pound fighter.

It might be surprising to the majority that you will choose Diego Sanchez to conquer BJ Penn but he's got difficulty with bigger fighters and he has problems with fighters they enjoy to press the action. That as well as the +220 online sports betting odds, leads me to put my funds on the underdog in this fight.

Diego is often a slightly better wrestling and he's better striking. The real determining element in why he'll almost certainly win this fight is pace. Diego Sanchez will push the pace of the fight and he will pressure the fights. BJ Penn would rather control his mixed martial arts fights however when a fighter takes control in the pace they are able to dictate and beat BJ.

Also BJ Penn has difficulties with fighters that are bigger and stronger than him. Penn lost to Georges St Pierre twice because GSP was bigger anf the husband pushed the pace from the fight. Penn lost to Matt Hughes because he had not been fit and near the end of the fight Hughes pushed the pace anf the husband would have been a bigger fighter.

Diego Sanchez is a big 155 pound fighter. He is commonly a welterweight fighter and sbobet might even fight at middleweight if he wished to. He will cut plenty of weigh entering this fight and after his weight cut, Sanchez will most likely be at 170 pounds fight day. He will likely be an extremely larger and more powerful fighter and he will pose Penn some problems due to Diego's size.

Size can play big role within this fight, and Penn have not succeeded in doing so well with fighters which might be larger than him. BJ dominates same size fighters like he did with Kenny Florian and Sean Sherk. But remember Sanchez could be the bigger fighter and that is a major factor when fighting BJ Penn.

Diego is really a fighter which is always healthy and he will pressure Penn right after the fight starts. He is going to be capable to back Penn with his aggressive pressure and confuse him together with his strikes and kicks. After the first 2 rounds Penn is going to be exhausted attempting to keep track of Diego's' pace. When Penn fought Matt Hughes the 2nd time he was dominating him but by round 3 he was from gas and Hughes turned it. His last fight with St Pierre he was getting thrown off his game and by round 4 he couldn't continue. If Diego can push the pace he will tire out Penn and consider the fight inside the latter rounds.

While most people need a decade or more to turn into a black belt, Penn got his black belt with only three years of coaching. BJ Penn is known for his jiu-jitsu however, if you appear at his record in MMA he wins all of his fights by rear naked choke. Now if you break up his grappling game he dominates the grappling game as he is equal in weight. If Diego Sanchez were a similar weight and size he probably would dominate your dream.

However, Diego is no slouch on a lawn. His no gi game is excellent and contains even competed on the ADCC 2005 Absolute Division championships. The Abu Dhabi could be the most prestigious grapping tournament on earth that is something BJ Penn has not competed in before. Diego won his first fight on the ADCC and lost his second fight to Marcelo Garcia that's considered to be one of the best grapplers on the globe. That was when Diego never even competed using a gi before. In 2005, Sanchez wrestled for his secondary school in New Mexico prior to starting training MMA with Greg Jackson at Jackson's Submission Fighting which can be thought to be the top MMA trainer on the globe. Despite never by using a gi in grappling Diego includes a very tight grappling game.

Striking wise you have to give you a slight edge to Diego. Diego can have the reach and power advantage in the striking. He is going to be greater fighter anf the husband can push off and jab his punches so BJ Penn won't to get in close. Technically BJ Penn is a better striker with better fundamentals but he will be mistaken for the sheer quantity of strikes as well as the reach.

Bottom Line: Remember Diego Sanchez was a format member from the Greg Jackson team and Jackson was in the corner when GSP fought Penn so Sanchez will fight the same fight that St Pierre fought. Sanchez will be prepared for this fight anf the husband will shock many.

I love the truth that Sanchez could be the bigger, stronger and much more aggressive fighter. These are the three factors that BJ Penn has troubles with in fighters. UFC sports betting wise the +220 betting odds are perfect and I would lay a tiny amount for the money line for Diego to win this fight. I don't think Diego has the ability to knock out Penn or the grappling skill to sub him but he has hold the power and strength to win the stand and have the remove points.

He also has the skill in top position with an effective ground and pound. If he is in Penn's guard, he can perform the similar thing GSP did and make use of his size and capacity to punish Penn. The Ribeiro brothers will demonstrate him how to fight effectively inside the guard. If Diego stays inside top position he is able to control the floor game. If Penn is to it will probably be over. However, Penn may have trouble getting top position or taking Diego's back since he is the bigger stronger fighter.

I do believe Diego does not have the skills to conquer Penn but he's got the stamina and chance to hurt Penn and bring this fight late to the rounds. By the time Penn hits the forth round he'll almost certainly be gassed which is when Sanchez will require over. The best bet is to bet for the UFC prop bet for Diego to win by decision. He will hurt and confuse Penn with his strikes and kicks. BJ will not be in a position to close the distance as they may be the smaller fighter. BJ Penn has a lot to appear out for within this fight like strikes, kicks, takedowns along with the ground and pound while Sanchez only has to stress not stopping his back or being on the bottom.

Look for Diego Sanchez to get the New UFC Lightweight Champion having a Split Decision

Written by Stan Leung and presented by.

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